Croatia vs Italy

The Red Bull Area in Leipzig will play host as Croatia take on Italy on Monday night in their final Group B game at Euro 2024. The Croatians find themselves sitting bottom of the group courtesy of Spain’s opening-day drubbing, followed by a 2-2 draw with Albania. The nature of their latest result will have caused a lot of frustration for Croatia, having held the lead until a 95th-minute equaliser snatched two points away from them. That leaves them now needing a win to have any chance of getting into the knockout stages.

Having beaten Albania, Italy know that a point here would more than likely see them progress to the next round. Spain, who beat Italy 1-0 in the last round of fixtures, are expected to top the group comfortably enough so the Italians are likely to settle for second place. They showed great character to come back from behind against Albania in their opener and there’s no shame in being beaten by Spain, so their confidence shouldn’t be too low. While a point would probably be enough, a win would guarantee progression, so we expect a full-strength Italy side to line up.

Italy is the favourite to win the game in the match result market, and if you think that will happen, you can get odds against that. We feel this one will end all square, so the tip is to back the draw. The last three meetings between these have ended 1-1, so we’re looking for a repeat of that in the correct score market. Federico Chiesa was influential in the Albania win, and if he starts, we’re looking at backing him to score or assist in the game.

Check the table with our top picks below:

Finally, you can see our top choices for the other Monday’s match: Albania vs Spain.